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AIK Solna takes on Orebro in the Allsvenskan 5th round, a very important match for both sides.
AIK has 7 points in the first 4 matches and did what was expected of them – winning their home matches and getting 1 point in two difficult travels at Malmo and Elfsborg. Last round AIK lost 3-2 against Elfsborg, a good match in which today`s hosts probably deserved a point. It was the first match of the season for their best player, Bahoui, who immediately had an impact, scoring both goals. AIK has a very good team this year and made some interesting investments hoping to win the title. Key new signing Bangura (ex Celtic, Istanbul BB) made his debut last round and he`s a real asset for AIK despite not having played football for some time due to a knee injury.
Orebro is sitting last in the standings with a single point, playing some dreadful football in the first 4 rounds. The worst part if that Orebro probably had the easiest draw of all Alsvenskan sides so far, meeting mostly relegation candidates. Even so, they managed to lose the last three matches by a margin of 2 goals each time against the likes of Goteborg, Sundsvall and Falkenberg. Orebro is not a bad team on paper and they were expected to finish midtable, but the current form is simply horrible.
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Team news: AIK will be happy to have its star player, Swedish international Nabil Bahoui and new signing Mohamed Bangura available. Another new signing, Dickson Etuhu, continues to be out. Orebro should line up in a similar manner to last round, despite putting on a really poor performance against GIF Sundsvall.
The odds on AIK are dropping and for good reason. They played pretty good football so far this season and have a lot of quality in their ranks, while Orebro’s level of football has been atrocious and I doubt they can suddenly turn it around on the road, against a team like AIK. Orebro might be better than the standings suggests, but they are not a top team in Sweden by any means. Look for the hosts to make it three out of three at home.
My tip is AIK to win this with a 1 goal asian handicap, their top class attacking pairing of Bahoui and Bangura should be more than enough to put at least a couple of past an out of shape Orebro side, while the visitors do not look likely to score against anybody right now, let alone against AIK. Prediction: AIK Solna – Orebro 2-0.
Pick: AIK (-1 Asian Handicap)
Odds: 2.21 @ Sbobet
Stake: 8
Possible profit: 9.68
Event date: 26 April
