Leverkusen – Atletico

Leverkusen Atletico Madrid preview

Bayer Leverkusen will face off against Atletico Madrid in the Champions League Round of Last 16 for the second time in the last three years.

Leverkusen’s season has been shaky to say the least, with the hosts sitting on the 8th place in the Bundesliga. The club did better in the Champions League, where they finished undefeated (but on second place) in a group with Tottenham, CSKA Moscow and Monaco. Leverkusen seems to have some form recently with two convincing wins in a row in Germany, so they will be hopeful of securing a result against Atletico, like they did 2 years ago (1-0 at home, but lost the tie via penalties).

Atletico’s only loss in the last 10 matches was against Barcelona and they have not lost away from home in 2017 – but they did record 4 draws in their 7 road matches (all competitions). Only 4th in La Liga, Atletico has done great to win their Champions League group over Bayern Munich. They are in excellent form and will come into this match knowing a win or a draw would make them big favorites ahead of the reverse leg.

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Team news & lineups:

Calhanoglu, Tah and possibly Bender will miss out for Leverkusen. Atletico will not have Oblak, Juanfran, Tiago and Fernandez in the lineup.

Bayer Leverkusnen: Leno – Henrichs, Toprak, Dragovic, Wendell – Kampl, Baumgartlinger, Aranguiz, Brandt – Chicharito, Kiessling

Atletico Madrid: Moya – Vrsaljko, Godin, Savic, Filipe Luis – Niguez, Gabi, Koke, Ferreira-Carrasco – Griezmann, Gameiro

Bayer Leverkusen recorded 4 draws in 6 Champions League matches this season and Atletico Madrid has been very prone to draws on the road recently, recording 4 in their last 5 games.

The above trend might continue, as this game seems like it will end in a draw. Atletico is the better team but Leverkusen’s home court advantage should balance things out. Both teams will play a 4-4-2 module and could nullify eachother out.

Leverkusen will know they can`t afford to lose at home against a pragmatic side like Atletico and will not risk anything, while the visitors will be satisfied to kill the game in Simenone’s well known style.

I will back the draw here, but I will insure the bet in case Atletico finds a way to win – as they are the better and more consistent team. My tip is the draw on the Atletico win no bet market. Prediction: Bayer Leverkusen – Atletico Madrid 1-1.

Pick: Draw – Atletico Madrid win no bet
Odds: 1.87 @ Bwin
Stake: 8
Possible profit: 6.96
Event date: 21 February

About Rostick

Born in '88. Running betting tips websites since 2007. Launched Betdistrict in 2013. Worked as a bookie for a year to spy on the other side. Rugby Union and NBA expert. Editor info & statistics.

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