Dinamo – Astra

Dinamo Bucharest needs a win in the last round of the Romanian Liga 1 playoffs in order to maintain their slim title hopes alive, while visitors Astra have nothing left to fight for and might rest players.

Dinamo Bucharest is currently 3rd in the standings, two points behind both Viitorul and FCSB, so they don`t have a very good chance to win the title. However, Dinamo would be on top in any kind of tie (two way or three way), so the hosts still have everything to fight for – especially as the second place assures qualification for the Champions League. Dinamo will enter this last round with confidence, being by far the best team in the league in recent weeks, posting a record of 5 wins and 1 (unlucky) draw in their last 6 matches.

Astra Giurgiu is on the last place in these playoffs (6th spot) and that`s where they will finish, so the visitors are definitely low on motivation. They lost 0-1 in the last round to FCSB and coach Sumudica announced that he may choose to give a few guys a rest, as Astra has more important matches coming up in the Romanian Cup. The visitors have lost their last 3 games in Liga 1 and definitely do not look focused at the moment.

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Team news & lineups:

Branescu (Dinamo) and Boudjema (Astra) are the only missing players, but both are long term injuries and not very important for their teams. It remains to be seen if Astra will decide to rest players or not.

Dinamo: Penedo – Romera, Nedelcearu, Dielna, Filip – Nistor, Mahlangu – Hanca, Palic, Rivaldinho – Nemec

Astra Giurgiu: Iliev – Stan, Sapunaru, Oros, Morais – Seto, Lovin – Nicoara, Budescu, Florea – Bus

Astra seems to have given up on the league a while ago and if you look at the statements made by coach Sumudica, you can imagine how focused they are ahead of this match.

“We will probably lose against Dinamo. I will rest a few players, we don`t have anything left to fight for and there`s no point in putting more effort in the league. I`m more interested in the Cup semifinals.” – Marius Sumudica, Astra manager

He did come back the next day and said that all players will make the trip and he might field the best available lineup, but the team`s mental state is pretty clear.

Even if they won`t rest players, expectations are that Astra will look really bad today, as they seem to be as disconnected as they could possibly be. The league has really ended for them last round when they lost to FCSB, a game they were desperate to win against a rival they hate. The loss took a lot from them both physically and mentally.

Dinamo on the other hand is playing the best football in the country right now, they are on an excellent winning streak and have a very good chance to at least finish second and qualify for the Champions League. The Red Dogs are far from being world beaters, but they do look to enjoy their football and they have a lot of motivation coming into this game.

The hosts have scored a lot recently and Astra has a leaky defense, so Dinamo should win this match with goals to spare. Odds have gone down, but they may go down even more.

My tip is Dinamo to cover the -1 asian handicap and I will go with max stakes, I reckon it`s a good opportunity considering the circumstances. Prediction: Dinamo Bucharest – Astra Giurgiu 3-0.

Pick: Dinamo (-1 Asian Handicap)
Odds: 1.64 @ Unibet
Stake: 10
Possible profit: 6.40
Event date: 13 May