Hungary – Greece

Hungary takes on a desperate Greece team in Budapest, with the visitors playing arguably their last card for Euro 2016 qualification.

The Hungarians have been their usual selves in these qualies, nothing special, still a long way from being a good team. However, the new qualification method for Euro 2016, the easy group and Greece’s abysmal start to the campaign have given Hungary hope that they can reach a final tournament after many decades. Hungary is currently 3rd with 7 points but the hosts were far from impressive, actually they were simply poor. They crawled their way towards two hard fought 1-0 wins against Faroe and Finland, got a very lucky 1-1 draw in Romania and lost at home to N.Ireland.

Greece has been an absolute disaster last year under Ranieri, gaining just 1 point in 4 matches, a 1-1 draw with Finland. The visitors lost to Romania, Northern Ireland and even to Faroe – at home! However, with Ranieri now out of the way and ex – Peru manager Markarian in charge, Greece hopes to rally from behind and surpass at least one of Hungary, Romania or Northern Ireland – it can be done, as Greece is obviously the best team in this group.

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Team news: Both teams are relatively healthy ahead of this game, but Greece does have two important missings: Holebas and Mitroglou.

Surely last year is in the past for Greece and the visitors will start to play better under the new manager. They really need to go for the win today, 3 points would put them back in business and I believe they can do the job. Hungary is really a poor side, they have been very disappointing themselves in this group, they just had better luck. I can’t see them breaking down a solid defensive team like Greece and in all honesty Hungary would clearly be satisfied with a point, they do not need to go for the win.

My tip is Greece to win with a +0 asian handicap and I will stake 7 units on this bet. Under 2,5 goals sounds good as well, but the odds are very low. Prediction: Hungary – Greece 0-1.

Pick: Greece (+0 Asian Handicap)
Odds: 2.09 @ Pinnacle
Stake: 7
Possible profit: 7.63
Event date: 29 March