Clippers – Jazz

Clippers Jazz Game 5 preview

The Utah Jazz will try to get a second away win of the series in Game 5, but they are sweating over the fitness of Gordon Hayward. Clippers on the other hand miss Blake Griffin. The series is now tied at 2-2, with each team winning one on the road and Utah winning Game 4 on Sunday.

The Clippers (4th seed) fell down 0-1 to Utah but recovered with two wins in a row, before losing Game 4 due to being outplayed in the 4th quarter. LA did not look good during this entire series and after losing Blake Griffin with injury in Game 3, only their home court advantage is keeping them favorites in this series – though one might argue that they actually aren`t favorites anymore.

Utah (5th seed) finally got back Rudy Gobert in Game 4 and he was excellent despite having to play limited minutes – posting 15 points (100% shooting) and 13 rebounds in just 14 minutes of action. He should get more playing time in this Game 5, but Utah now has to deal with the potential absence of Hayward. Their All Star guard played just 9 minutes in Game 4 due to food poisoning.

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Team news:

The Clippers might get backup Austin Rivers back, but they will be without their 2nd best player, Blake Griffin, who will miss the entire playoffs after getting injured in Game 3.

The Jazz will likely give more minutes to Gobert this time around and will gain a lot from that. Raul Neto also came back for 7 minutes in Game 4 and should be more involved this time around. Hayward (who traveled with the team to LA) is questionable but you would expect him to play, he is getting the best treatment money can buy and he should really shake off that food poisoning in the two days since he got it. Of course, that isn`t something we can say for sure.

Even if Hayward will sit out, or if he`ll play but won`t be effective, Utah still has a good chance to steal this Game 5. They were competitive in this series without Gobert (when LA still had Griffin) and a fair case can be made that Gobert is more important than Hayward – because he can`t be replaced, while Hayward’s production can be regained through guys like Joe Johnson, George Hill or Rodney Hood. Plus, Utah already won Game 4 without Hayward, albeit that was at home.

The Jazz just seemed like the more cohesive team in this series, defending better and playing better as a team, while the Clippers are alive for one reason and one reason only: Chris Paul. Utah managed to anihilate him late in Game 4, so if they can keep that up, there won`t be much left for LA to do.

Betting on this game with Hayward’s status uncertain can be a bit of a risk, but I feel it actually provides value. You have to play the percentages, which clearly indicate that Hayward should play, and there`s also every chance Utah could win even without him.

If Hayward does play, odds on Utah will go down – and since I`m anticipating him to be fit, I will take the bet early. If he won`t play, there will be a better handicap available pre – game on the Jazz, but, as I said, we have to play the percentages.

The Clippers are well known for chocking in the playoffs and with Griffin out, facing a very good team, it looks increasingly likely that this will be another disappointment. I think the Jazz could steal this Game 5, but I will bet on the point spread as opposed to the straight win. All games in this series have been close and the +4 handicap offers a good safety net. My tip is Utah to cover. Prediction: LA Clippers – Utah Jazz 97 – 100.

Pick: Jazz +4
Odds: 1.91 @ Pinnacle
Stake: 8
Possible profit: 7.28
Event date: 26 April

About Rostick

Born in '88. Running betting tips websites since 2007. Launched Betdistrict in 2013. Worked as a bookie for a year to spy on the other side. Rugby Union and NBA expert. Editor info & statistics.

5 comments

  1. UPDATE:
     
    Tim MacMahon ESPN Staff Writer
    “Gordon Hayward, who sat out the second half Sunday due to food poisoning, is not on the Jazz’s official injury report for Game 5.”
     
    doesn`t necessarily mean he`ll play, but definitely looks like he will unless something unexpected happens

  2. Man you are a genius.I m am such an idiot i didn t take this bet.I was a little afraid of clippers. I wanted to ask you about Betfai and 1xbet. I want to open an acount and i saw you rated Betfair above 1xbet at odds but when i enter the site all most all the odds are better at 1xbet. and what is that cash out that betfair has? i didn t undertand very well. Thanx

    • Well, It`s always best to take the decision for yourself. I`m not one to recommend following tipsters blindly, that`s why I write these long-ass previews.
       
      Maybe you entered Betfair Sportsbook. You need to check out Betfair exchange. Or maybe you looked at future matches (the best odds usually come up during match-day, since they are put up by users and not by Betfair itself). Payout % is higher at Betfair, it`s a fact.
       
      It`s a simple function, there`s a button and you can cash out your bet at almost anytime – with profit or loss, depending on the odds. Most good bookies have it nowadays, although I`m not sure if they have it for the entire duration of a match, like Betfair.
       
      If you choose Betfair make sure to take some time and understand it, it`s a bit different than a normal bookie. But I definitely recommend it and that`s where I play ~80% of my bets.
       
      Feel free to post any questions you might have, I know it can be a bit hard to understand at first. Do a test run with less money if you want, hands-on learning is always the best.
       
      https://www.betdistrict.com/betting-guides/betting-exchange

  3. After following your picks for some weeks, I decided to play this one. +3.5 offline at the same odds. Thank you. Chapeau!
    Do you have an email address you can share here ?
    I would like to start a collaboration.

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