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League leaders Malmo FF will take on Kalmar in the 15th round of the Swedish Allsvenskan, with the hosts looking to protect or increase their 3 point cushion at the top of the table.
Malmo FF was held to a 1-1 draw last round by AIK, after previously winning a dangerous home game against Orebro (1-0) in the first match after the mid season break. Malmo is having an excellent season so far, making full use of the fantastic talent they have in the squad and they were riding a 5 match winning streak before the draw against AIK – which was still not a bad result at all against a good team.
Kalmak FF is coming after a horrible 2-4 loss against bottom of the table Gefle, a team that had 5 points in 13 rounds prior to that game. Kalmar was horrible in defense and a lot of improvement will be needed if they are to keep this game close against Malmo. The visitors are sitting on the 12th place in the standings and look set to be involved in the race to avoid the promotion / relegation playoff spot, as they don`t have the quality they had a few years ago.
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Team news: Arnason continues to miss for Malmo after being involved in Euro 2016 with Iceland. Rodic will not play either, as he has just been transfered to Karabukspor, but otherwise Malmo can field their best lineup. Kamkar will not be able to count on Agardius and Diouf, but Eriksson is back in the squad.
If Kalmar defends like in the game agaisnt Gefle this will be a long night for them, but even with improvements it doesn`t look likely that they can challenge Malmo. The hosts have much more quality in their ranks and have been rock solid this season, doing the job time and time again. Malmo won 6 out of 7 home games in the 2016 Allsvenskan and 5 in a row. 4 of them by two or more goals and 5 of them (the last 5) without conceding a goal.
I expect Malmo to come out strong and win this match, probably by a form of handicap. They can`t afford to drop points, as Norrkoping is just 3 points behind. Malmo also has two very difficult matches coming up, so they really need the win here.
My tip is Malmo to cover a 1 goal asian handicap. Simple bet, odds good enough to be played singles, with medium – high stakes. Prediction: Malmo – Kalmar 2-0.
Pick: Malmo (-1 Asian Handicap)
Odds: 1.62 @ Ohmbet
Stake: 8
Possible profit: 4.96
Event date: 23 July
