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The San Antonio Spurs will host the Dallas Mavericks on Monday night in the NBA.
The Spurs (3-2, 2-1 home) have replaced Kawhi Leonard with DeMar DeRozan this year, a move which definitely weakened them, but on the other hand they should be better than last year when they finished 8th in the West (as Kawhi did not play). San Antonio started the season pretty well this year, as they have a winning record despite meeting 5 playoff caliber teams. Last time out they beat the Lakers at home a couple of nights ago.
The Mavericks (2-4, 0-3 away) are a potential dark horse to make the playoffs this year, but after a pretty good start, their form has dipped. Dallas lost its last three matches, including a 9 point loss at home to the Jazz last night, and their defense has looked particularly woeful this season. The return of Harrison Barnes in the starting lineup did not help, as he was absolutely dreadful in the two matches he played so far.
Bet on Spurs vs Mavs and claim your 100% (120 Eur) welcome bonus at LSbet now!Team news: The Spurs will continue to miss Murray, Walker and White, while the Mavs will still be without Dirk Nowitzki and Devin Harris.
The under over line is set at 214.5 points for this game, even though San Antonio`s matches see an average of 232.4 points being scored, and Dallas’s matches see an average of 229.4 points being scored.
The reason for the low line is that both teams slowed down with the scoring in recent matches, and also each of them had an unreasonably high scoring game, which increased the averages.
However, the reason for which the two sides decreased their scoring totals recently was due to a couple of bad shooting nights, as opposed to the change in styles of play. Both teams steal play at a very high pace. What`s more, even if their scoring has recently not been at high as in the first couple of games of the season, the Spurs and the Mavs still went over today`s total (214.5 points) in 10 of their combined 11 matches!
The bookies actually opened with a higher total for this game (some of them as high as 218.5 points), but the general public moved the odds down. This should be a high scoring game here, Dallas has one of the worst defenses in the league and they are also back to back – and extra fatigue is usually more impactful for a team`s defensive performance, as it determines defensive lapses and more turnovers, which result in fast break points.
My tip here will be over 214.5 points to be scored, with a recommended stake of 7-8 units. I will personally invest 8. Prediction: San Antonio Spurs – Dallas Mavericks 116 – 110.
Pick: over 214,5
Odds: 1.93 @ Pinnacle
Stake: 8
Possible profit: 7.44
Event date: 29 October
