Sevilla – Rayo

Sevilla hosts Rayo Vallecano in the 33rd round of the Spanish Primera Division.

Sevilla is coming after the qualification to the Europa League semifinals via a 2-2 draw in Russia vs. Zenit … a great performance for Sevilla who now has to get back right into action in Primera Division. There is no time for celebration because the first place in La Liga is on the line … Sevilla is 2 points away from Valencia (who has an easy game Monday with Granada) so a win today is mandatory. Hosts have some injury problems with Vitolo, Pareja, Cristoforo and Barbosa all ruled out from the lineup for this match … the first two missing will be a handicap for Sevilla.

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Rayo Vallecano suffered a heavy defeat in the last away game, 1-6 vs. Celta Vigo, very surprising because it came in a period of great form for Rayo. Visitors sit comfortably mid table and won 4 of the last 6 matches … including recovering to beat Almeria 3-1 last round. The only other defeat in these 6 matches was against Real Madrid in a match where Rayo played really well. Tito is suspended for today … Leo Baptistao and Cristian Alvarez are injured.

Sevilla had a very tough travel to Zenit midweek and after so many matches recently they could feel a hangover effect … Unai Emery will probably rotate the squad a little bit to rest 3-4 usual starters but the good news for him is that he has options. I think Sevilla will win but not in a convincing fashion. They will be happy with a 1 goal win, only the three points are important. Rayo is a very good side and I am sure they will be extra careful and focused after that 1-6 loss in their last away game.

Visitors must face the fact that they meet the only unbeated team at home in La Liga … but could take advantage of Sevilla’s fatigue and their slightly weakened lineup … my tip will be Rayo Vallecano +1,5 handicap. Correct score prediction: Sevilla – Rayo Vallecano 1-0.

Pick: Rayo Vallecano +1,5
Odds: 1.84 @ Sbobet
Stake: 8
Possible profit: 6.72
Event date: 26 April