Bayern – Monchengladbach

Bayern - Monchengladbach betting previewAfter a brilliant 2012-2013 season, Bayern opens up its league campaign with great expectations against Monchengladbach. The bavarians have some questions to answer in the start of the season after the manager change and after they lost 4-2 to Dortmund in the Super Cup.

Bayern is of course the main favorite for the title, as their squad is even better than last season with the transfers of Thiago Alcantara and Mario Gotze, but they are far away from being at full strength now at the beginning of the league. The bavarians still need to learn playing under Guardiola, they have to work on the team cohesion and tactical aspects of the game. These facts were obvious in their pre-season training matches and in the Supercup. Nevertheless, they are three classes above Monchengladbach and anything else than a Bayern win would be a huge surprise.

Borussia is a decent team, they finished on the 8th place last year and they are hoping for European qualification this year. They have a solid roster, but they didn`t look too good in their first official game of the season, losing at penalties against Darmstad in the cup after 0-0 in 120 minutes. Coach Favre said he expects much better from his players today. `Gladbach has been a real nightmare for Bayern in the last years, with the bavarians often losing points against their less famous opponents. In the last season, Borussia managed to draw 1-1 on Allianz Arena in december, losing 3-4 at home in the last days of the season. Actually, in the last 4 direct meedings, today`s visitors won 2 times, drawn 1 and lost only once. On the other hand, Bayern destroyed `Gladbach 5-1 in a friendly one month ago. Friendlies are friendlies, but it was a pretty one sided game that one.

Both teams are pretty much at full strength for this one, with no injuries and suspensions. Mario Gotze is still out for Bayern and Schweinsteiger is doubtful, but he should feature.

Despite the 5-1 drubbing `Gladbach reveived from Bayern in the pre-season, I feel the bavarians are priced way too low, way too early. Borussia has always played well against the bavarians, the match-up favors them and with the hosts still looking to find themselves, ‘Gladbach should be able to keep this close. With a fantastic keeper in Ter-Stegen and a good game on the counters, the visitors could limit the scoreline and this could end with something like 2-1, 2-0, 3-1. Surely Bayern will be happy with a result like that. Both to score is also a solid bet, but I like theΒ  handicap more, it seems more safe than counting on a `Gladbach goal which could or could not come. Bayern may well have trouble scoring against a solid defense with them still trying to figure out how to play efficiently in Guardiola`s system. Arguments and common sense suggest taking `Gladbach at +2,5 in this one. The line is just too big at these odds.

With this being the season opener, you may want to read our 2013 – 2014 Bundesliga season preview for further information about this years` german league.

Pick: Monchengladbach (+2,5)
Odds: 1.97 @ Pinnacle
Stake: 7
Possible profit: 6.79
Event date: 9 August

About Rostick

Born in '88. Running betting tips websites since 2007. Launched Betdistrict in 2013. Worked as a bookie for a year to spy on the other side. Rugby Union and NBA expert. Editor info & statistics.

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