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This game is as unbalanced as it gets on paper. Serie A leaders meet the last placed team at home.
AS Roma is playing just great football in the beginning of the season. Roma has won all games so far and most of them in impressive manner. 9 rounds, 9 wins, 23-1 goal difference. At Olimpico Roma won all 4 games with 12-0 goal difference, winning all games by 2 goals or more. Roma is on the back of a 1-0 win at Udinese in the weekend and they really need the points after Juve and Napoli both won yesterday.
My colleague Rostick said everything that needs to be said about Roma when he backed Roma to win the title last week. What I can say is that the team jelled extremely well with Rudia Garcia at the helm, everybody knows their position and what to do on the field. The squad of course is super quality but you get the feeling that Roma can win games even with 7-8 players missing. Their results so far are not random, that is for sure. For the game against Chievo Roma continues to miss some players: Totti, Destro, Maicon and Gervinho will not play. Important absentees for the hosts.
AS Roma lineup: De Sanctis – Torosidis, Benatia, Leandro Castan, Balzaretti – Pjanic, De Rossi, Strootman – Florenzi, Borrielo, Ljajic
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Chievo did not strengthen the team in the summer and the results are very poor. The relegation candidates are last in the table with just 4 points in 9 rounds. They only scored 7 times (3 times from set pieces) and worst of all they are in horrible form: losing the last 5 matches. Also on the road they have 1 draw and 3 losses with 1-7 goal difference. It will be hard for Chievo to stay up without reinforcements and with the current squad there are not many hopes for better results in 2013. The visitors miss some players for today, like Calello and Cesar.
Chievo Verona lineup: Puggioni – Sardo, Frey, Claiton, Papp, Drame –Bentivoglio, Radovanovic, Rigoni – Thereau, Paloschi
I just love how odds on Roma are slightly increasing thanks to the martingale scenario that most punters have in mind (if they won 9 games, they must lose now). That`s completely unrealistic. Anything can happen in sports and Roma could fail to win or cover the handicap, but that will happen only if Chievo plays well, not because they won too many games in a row. Based on arguments I highly doubt Chievo can do anything in this match.
Roma misses some players and that will be a blow, but at the same time Roma is playing great at the moment and they also missed Totti or Gervinho at Udinese in the weekend, and they still won on a very tough ground. At Olimpico they should easily dispatch goal-shy Chievo. The visitors are poor overall and even weaker on the road. It is hard to expect Chievo to score against a team that conceded a single goal all season. Roma is able to score at least twice after putting constant pressure for 90 minutes. They did cover the handicap in all home game this season and premises for an upset look slim here – especially if you think that Roma can`t afford a bad step and needs to win this game badly. My prediction? Roma – Chievo 3-0.
Pick: Roma (-1,5)
Odds: 1.96 @ Sbobet
Stake: 9
Possible profit: 8.64
Event date: 31 October
Editor Facts
- Ocean is 3 for 3 in tips involving Italian teams this season
