Betdistrict.com
Match from the Czech 2nd Division.
Ceske are averaging 2.3 goals per match at home, while Chrudim are scoring 0.8 goals per match away from home. Over 60% of Ceske's home matches have been over 2.5 goals.
Chrudim have seen 2.5 goals scored in almost 70% of their away matches so far this season. Also last 6 Chrudim matches in all competition have been over 2.5 goals.
My model says this match will end in 3 or more goals around 63% of the time, which would mean odds of around 1.59, but we are instead offered odds of 2.00+ by many bookmakers.
So this bet brings profit over the long run. Lowest odds I'd accept would be 1.8
Of course not saying it's a given - this is still a value bet, but the odds seem insanely high to me. Sensible stakes are recommended.
Good luck everyone!
Pick: Over 2.5 Goals
Odds: 2.1
Bookmaker: ➾ Bet365
Stake: 5 units
Tipster: Amn_Googly87
| TIPSTER: Amn_Googly87 | Total profit: -45.93 | Tips won: 135 |
| Country: Romania | Total yield: -2.17% | Tips lost: 146 |
| Speciality: Basketball | Total picks: 288 | Tips pushed: 7 |
| 15.05 | • Sion - Neuchatel Xamax | 2.75 | 5 | ✅ | +8.75 |
| 08.05 | • Ceske Budejovice - AFK Chrudim | 2.1 | 5 | ✅ | +5.5 |
| 08.05 | • Fremad Amager - Lyngby | 2.19 | 5 | ❌ | -5 |
| 07.05 | • FC Zbrojovka Brno - FC Hradec | 1.89 | 5 | ✅ | +4.45 |
| 07.05 | • Buchholz - Dassendorf | 2.06 | 5 | ✅ | +5.3 |
| 06.05 | • Manchester City - Leicester | 1.9 | 5 | ❌ | -5 |
| 06.05 | • Ac Milan - Bologna | 2.02 | 5 | ✅ | +5.1 |
| 06.05 | • Vitoria Setubal - Boavista Porto | 1.82 | 5 | ✅ | +4.1 |
| 06.05 | • Niort - Lorient | 1.79 | 5 | ❌ | -5 |
| 06.05 | • Furth - FC Koln | 2.46 | 5 | ❌ | -5 |
